﻿ 社会保险基金收支的统计分析 Statistical Analysis of Social Insurance Fund Revenue and Expenditure

Statistics and Application
Vol.06 No.04(2017), Article ID:22413,9 pages
10.12677/SA.2017.64046

Statistical Analysis of Social Insurance Fund Revenue and Expenditure

Rong Hu1, Chongjing Qu2, Weiyan Mu1

1School of Science, Beijing University of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Beijing

2Yantai Social Insurance Service Center, Yantai Shandong

Received: Oct. 1st, 2017; accepted: Oct. 15th, 2017; published: Oct. 23rd, 2017

ABSTRACT

In order to study the city’s social insurance fund revenue and expenditure increase and decrease, the social insurance fund in 2015 and the first half of 2016 is studied by the clustering analysis of multivariate statistical analysis to the income and expenditure analysis. Research shows that: due to the macroeconomic weakness and the intensification of the aging population, the city’s social security fund income pressure is greater; the basic old-age insurance fund accumulated surplus downward trend is obvious; dispensing pressure continues to increase.

Keywords:Social Insurance Fund, Balance of Payments, Cluster Analysis

1北京建筑大学理学院，北京

2烟台社会保险服务中心，山东 烟台

1. 引言

2016年上半年，某市希望根据该市2015年和2016年上半年社会保险基金的收支和结余的分布情况，对该市的社会保险基金运行情况进行分析，从而发现收支和结余的增加情况，以及对未来社会保险基金运行情况的预测 [2] 。因此，本文采用多元统计中的聚类分析，对该市的社会保险基金收入金额、支出金额和完成年度总预算百分比进行聚类，然后分析聚类结果，得出收入金额的主要来源，再根据完成年度预算的百分比分类结果预测未来完成预算百分比，进一步给出合理建议，以确保社会保险基金的正常运行。

2. 数据分析及指标说明

Table 1. Income of social insurance fund in a city (unit: 10,000 yuan)

Table 2. Expenditure of social insurance fund in a city (unit: 10,000 yuan)

3. 聚类分析

3.1. 聚类分析的基本思想

3.2. 聚类结果

Figure 1. General graph of income clustering

Table 3. Results of income clustering

Figure 2. Dendrogram of expenditure clustering

Table 4. Cluster results of expenditure

Figure 3. The first half of the various types of insurance revenue and expenditure percentage bar chart in 2016

Figure 4. Statistical chart of percentage increase in income and expenditure of each insurance fund

Figure 5. The percentage chart of the income budget for the first half of 2016

Figure 6. The percentage chart of the expenditure budget for the first half of 2016

Table 5. Results of the percentage of income budget in the first half of 2016

Table 6. Results of the percentage of expenditure budget in the first half of 2016

4. 结论与建议

Statistical Analysis of Social Insurance Fund Revenue and Expenditure[J]. 统计学与应用, 2017, 06(04): 402-410. http://dx.doi.org/10.12677/SA.2017.64046

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